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- Rosters and player stats: I’ve studied the squads of both teams on their official websites and on the UEFA website. Atalanta seems to have a slight advantage in terms of the overall level of players and their experience in the Champions League. Celtic has some strong players, but overall the squad looks less balanced.
- Team statistics in the Champions League 2024: Atalanta has shown more consistent results this season, with more wins and goals scored. Celtic has not yet shown confident play in the group stage.
- Injured players: At the moment, Atalanta has a few players with minor injuries, but they will most likely be ready for the match. Celtic has a more serious injury situation, which could negatively affect their game.
- Goalkeepers: Atalanta’s goalkeeper has better statistics this season in the Champions League (save percentage, number of clean sheets).
- Head-to-head history: Unfortunately, Atalanta and Celtic have not met in official matches before, so the history of their encounters does not give us any clues.
- Motivation: Both teams are likely highly motivated. Atalanta is fighting to qualify from the group, and Celtic wants to rehabilitate themselves after unsuccessful performances in the Champions League.
- Venue and weather: The match will take place in Bergamo, Italy, at the Gewiss Stadium. The weather forecast for October 22 is not yet available, but I will keep an eye on updates.
Probability of winning:
Based on the analysis of all factors, I believe that Atalanta has a better chance of winning this match.
Approximate winning percentage:
- Atalanta: 60%
- Celtic: 40%